📊 NCRS Scoring (60 points = 100%)
1. Tipping Threshold (1-10)
How close to critical mass? Higher score = lower threshold = easier to tip.
2. Conformity Trap Risk (1-10)
Social pressure maintaining status quo? Higher score = lower conformity pressure.
3. Benefit Visibility (1-10)
Can people easily see benefits of change? Higher score = more visible benefits.
4. Penalty Reduction (1-10)
Are costs/risks of advocacy decreasing? Higher score = lower penalties.
5. Broad Angle Potential (1-10)
Can movement appeal across constituencies? Higher score = broader appeal.
6. Leader Persistence (1-10)
Are leaders sustained and protected? Higher score = more durable leadership.
Min NCRS%:0%
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Live — 124 cases tracked

AI REGULATION

Monitor

Tracking US Artificial Intelligence Policy — Laws, Battles & Power. Who's winning, who's losing, and who's paying for it all.

01
Timeline of Opportunities

Political windows, court deadlines, labor movements, and organizing opportunities for AI regulation — 2025–2029.

02
All Cases

124 documented cases with full timelines — from Biden's EO to the TAKE IT DOWN Act, COMPAS to Clearview, SB 1047 to Bletchley.

03
Ecosystem

Who's funding the fight? Map of organizations, funders, lobbyists, and power brokers on both sides.

04
Methodology

How we score and track AI regulation cases using the Norm Change Readiness Score framework.


Built by AI. Improved by you.

This database is researched, written, and continuously updated by AI agents — which means it's fast, broad, and always improving. It also means mistakes happen: sources may be wrong, dates may be off, cases may be missing context. We take accuracy seriously, which is why every case has three tools to help keep it honest.

✓ Verify

Triggers an AI agent to fact-check the case — validating dates, sources, organizations, outcomes, and partisan alignment against live references. Use this when something feels off or a case hasn't been checked recently.

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Found a specific error? Submit a correction with an optional source link. An AI agent will cross-reference your claim against independent sources. If it's clearly valid, the fix is applied automatically. If uncertain, Benjamin is asked for approval before anything changes.

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The six dimensions of norm change readiness

🎯
Tipping Threshold

How entrenched is the current norm? Low threshold = easier to tip. Research shows ~35% active participation triggers cascading change.

🔒
Conformity Trap Risk

Is majority support hidden due to social cost? When people fear speaking up, true preferences stay invisible.

👁️
Benefit Visibility

How obvious are the gains from change? Visible success stories accelerate adoption and reduce perceived risk.

🔓
Penalty Reduction

Has the cost of dissent been reduced? When speaking up becomes safer, participation scales rapidly.

🌐
Broad-Angle Potential

Can this issue appeal across demographics? Movements with cross-cutting frames build winning coalitions.

🏃
Leader Persistence

Is there a vanguard absorbing early costs? Sustained leadership infrastructure makes movements resilient.


Four ways to explore

📅
Timeline of Opportunities

119 events across legislation, courts, labor, culture, and elections — mapped on a vertical timeline with filters. Defaults to 2024 onwards.

📚
Past Movements

100+ documented movements with full timelines, ecosystem maps, slogans, and sources. Filter by status, category, or pattern.

🌐
Ecosystem

The organizations, funders, celebrities, and governments behind every movement. Click any entity to see all connected movements.

📊
Scoring

Full methodology behind the NCRS framework and how each dimension is scored.


Pro tip: Open any movement, then use to navigate between cases, to scroll, Esc to close.

A living, community-driven database

MOVEMENTMonitor is a dynamic research project that grows with your input. Every movement profile is built from public sources — and some details may be incomplete, outdated, or missing entirely. If you spot something wrong or know something we don't, we want to hear from you.

Flag a wrong source, add a missing organization, or share a relevant link.

📅 Timeline of Opportunities — 2025–2029
Political windows, court deadlines, labor movements, cultural moments, and organizing opportunities for AI regulation
Type
Category
Partisan
Heat
Year
📊 The NCRS Scoring Methodology

The Norm Change Readiness Score (NCRS) is a framework for assessing when social movements are ready to achieve lasting change — and identifying optimal intervention windows.

Scoring System: 60 Points = 100%

Each movement is scored across 6 dimensions, with each dimension rated 1-10. The total (max 60) is displayed as a percentage for easy comparison. Higher scores = closer to or past tipping point.

🎯
Tipping Threshold
1-10 scale
Low threshold = easier to tip = higher score
🔒
Conformity Trap Risk
1-10 scale
Low risk = higher score
👁️
Benefit Visibility
1-10 scale
High visibility = higher score
⚖️
Penalty Reduction
1-10 scale
Strong reduction = higher score
🌐
Broad Angle Potential
1-10 scale
High appeal = higher score
💪
Leader Persistence
1-10 scale
Strong persistence = higher score

How Scores Are Calculated

  • Total Points: Sum of all 6 dimensions (max 60)
  • Percentage: (Total / 60) × 100
  • Example: A movement scoring 8+7+6+8+7+9 = 45 points = 75%

Interpreting Percentages

  • 80-100%: 🚀 ACT NOW — Critical intervention window open
  • 60-79%: 🎯 PREPARE — Building momentum, conditions favorable
  • 40-59%: 👁️ WATCH — Early stage, monitor for triggers
  • 0-39%: 💤 DORMANT — Conditions not yet favorable

The Six Dimensions Explained

Research into successful norm changes consistently surfaces six dimensions. Movements rarely succeed without strength in at least four. When all six are present, intervention windows open for coordinated action.

1
Tipping Threshold
2
Conformity Trap Risk
3
Benefit Visibility
4
Penalty Reduction
5
Broad Angle Potential
6
Leader Persistence

Dimension Definitions

  • Tipping Threshold (1-10): Proximity to critical mass. The 3.5% rule suggests sustained nonviolent campaigns need this threshold of active participants. Low threshold (easy to tip) scores higher.
  • Conformity Trap Risk (1-10): Strength of social pressure maintaining status quo. Inverted scoring — lower risk = higher readiness.
  • Benefit Visibility (1-10): How easily can people see the benefits of change? Are success stories visible and compelling?
  • Penalty Reduction (1-10): Are the costs of advocacy decreasing? Social, economic, and legal risks for participants.
  • Broad Angle Potential (1-10): Can the movement appeal across constituencies? Is framing inclusive enough for coalition building?
  • Leader Persistence (1-10): Are movement leaders sustained, protected, and able to continue despite opposition?

Outcome Scoring

  • 5 – Full Change: Durable policy/institutional change achieved and maintained
  • 4 – Major Win: Significant policy wins but vulnerable to reversal or incomplete
  • 3 – Cultural Shift: Permanent change in public consciousness, discourse, or norms
  • 2 – Partial Win: Some concessions extracted but core grievance unaddressed
  • 1 – Awareness Only: Public attention generated without structural change
  • 0 – Suppressed: Movement crushed with no lasting impact

Key Insight

The trigger doesn't create the conditions — the conditions determine when the trigger ignites. Build conditions relentlessly; be ready to amplify when the trigger comes.

Data Sources

This dashboard synthesizes research from academic literature on social movements (Chenoweth, Tarrow, McAdam), historical case analysis, and real-time tracking of active campaigns. 154 cases spanning 1977-2026 across all continents.

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